If Trump wins big enough in California and Indiana, he has it made
Donald Trump’s extraordinary Tuesday evening in Maryland, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Rhode Island and Delaware got me thinking: if this GOP presidential process were a prizefight, the referee would have stopped it last night. The announcer would have exclaimed, ” Donald Trump, winner by knockout.”
The impressiveness of Donald Trump’s clean sweep of the “Acela Primary States” on Tuesday isn’t in the victories themselves. Everyone knew that Trump would do well on Tuesday in the more moderate northeast. It’s the margin that’s notable. This was a shellacking. The knock on Trump was that he had a ceiling or that when other candidates dropped out, his numbers would stay static and the other contenders would flourish. It hasn’t panned out, at least not enough to significantly change the contours of the race.
Rather, what we’ve seen throughout this entire GOP presidential primary process is that Trump is winning all around the country. Thanks to evangelicals, he’s won in the Deep South; thanks to moderates, he’s winning in the northeast; and thanks to “Reagan Democrats” he’s winning in the industrial Midwest. The only place he really hasn’t done well is in the Mountain West but even out there, he did win Arizona.
Trump has been the consistent national front-runner for nearly the entire race. And even after suffering tough defeats (Iowa and Wisconsin), he’s bounced back and shown a resiliency to actually get stronger as the process moved along. He may be getting beat at the insider delegate game but when it comes to actually securing Republican primary votes, there’s no argument to be made against the fact that Trump has shown to be the most popular candidate out there. The anti-Trump pundits love to take the total percentage of the candidates running against Trump and exclaim that the majority of republican voters don’t want Trump. That’s a silly argument. For example, if Trump gets 40 percent of the vote in a state and Cruz gets 35 percent and Kasich gets 25 percent, the argument is that 60 percent of GOP Primary voters in that state are against Trump (35 percent plus 25 percent). But using that logic and math, then it would reason that 65 percent of GOP Primary voters in that state are against Cruz (40 percent plus 25 percent) and 75 percent of them are against Kasich (40 percent plus 35 percent)! I mean, come on.
Here’s the point: Trump has a compelling case to make to the unbound delegates in Cleveland if he arrives short of the 1,237. He’s on his way to having more Republican votes than any other candidate in modern GOP Primary history; he has more delegates than any candidate; he’s shown a propensity to win all around the country and he can point to how he clearly has crossover appeal to democrats and independents. It’s enough verification to make a General Election case. Will it be easy? No, this is no slam-dunk but the degree of difficulty isn’t as high as people think.
This article continues at [Charisma News] Donald Trump Needs to Deliver a Knockout