Trump's core group holding firm, but pollsters see him in trouble

Trump’s core group holding firm, but pollsters see him in trouble

The Culture

President Donald Trump has the lowest poll standing of any new president at the 100-day mark, while his core supporters are holding firm.

Is this cause for optimism for Trump and his fans? Or for concern? Obviously it’ll depend on how the next 100 and 1,000 days play out. But after talking to some of the best pollsters and analyzing the surveys, I think the White House should be worried.

At this juncture in a presidency, public support is usually high. Presidents get honeymoons, tend to score some policy victories and get the chance to show off an appealing family or a good sense of humor to win over a few skeptics. Wit won’t work for Trump; he’s incapable of the self-deprecating humor deployed by presidents from John F. Kennedy to Ronald Reagan to Barack Obama.

Many voters don’t like Trump personally or favor his policies. And the opposition may be more passionate than his base supporters.

For sure, that base is holding. Most Trump voters are willing to overlook or excuse his ignorance on issues ranging from the Korean peninsula to the American Civil War, and many revel in his invective.

Ann Selzer, the pollster for Bloomberg and the Des Moines Register, recently conducted a dozen focus groups of Trump voters in the Upper Midwest. “Despite a few concerns,” she said, “they remain satisfied he’s doing what they expected.”

The Trump camp disputes surveys showing his poor ratings. John McLaughlin, who polled for Trump last year, recently wrote that there’s a “partisan bias” to media polls. Others say Trump’s negative poll numbers are no more reliable than the pre-election media polls last November that were supposedly far off the mark.

This article continues at [Bloomberg] Be Afraid, Mr. President

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